Saturday 26 July 2014

Fables And Fact....




As the summer recess slowly creeps in I see many examples of misinformation,misunderstanding and lack of education, It's easy for people to spin you the line '' It takes years to become successful '' but that kind of pretencions statement does nobody any good.

Here's a few things that perhaps cause confusion with Private Investors

A placing is announced with an issue value (amount of stock) with the date they will be admitted, however we know that you can spread bet or take a Cfd's long or short of a company. Thus once you have subscribed to the placing you can then hedge. The time the stocks admitted is secondary, in fact you have the ability to secure your stake price which is an example of fortifying your position regardless of the stocks trajectory, the other is to front run or sell ahead of the curve. There's lots of do gooders that will tell you what should and shouldn't happen in this game but the most important thing is knowing the game, how it works, what's possible (or not) and how to circumnavigate the fish pool full of sharks.

You can't hit the board without throwing the dart folks although this doesn't mean you have to play 9 legs with Phil Taylor either, You simply have to get a number that fits your game and be happy with it. The thing that takes years (some people never learn) is to be happy winning no matter how attractive or rough the success is. You then focus on developing or honing your field craft, the returns will keep improving as will the strength of mind. Your understanding of terminology as well as the mechanics which form the small cap should then start to look slick. This takes time put nobody had to nearly lose everything to adopt these simple principle's

The docslaymanchat usually consists of a round up and a few words of wisdom but I've been cooped up in the hammock all week whilst kicking back and enjoying the fruits of my labours '' Oh and watching Gkp lose 12% since buying early this week '' granted today its probably more like 8% but hey such is life, I bought in as I believe this AGM and the whole debacle of Kozel was distracting and once out the way the company (Gkp) would find some traction in the markets coupled with a tidy piece of insight (News)

Astar changed name to Mx Oil (thoughts here) while Sound Oil (Sou) has made some progress recently which is based around the formality of the second milestone of gas production from its Casa Tiberi asset. I'm also picking up a lot more background noise from the city on the possible opening of communications with the oil major mentioned sometime ago with relation to the companies larger assets under management. All G&A (General Admin) costs are now covered so all the money spent is going into the exploration which is impressive. If the 12 month high is broken and closed over we may see a further run toward 20p. If not then its back to 10.5p so on a binary basis it looks a goer.

Rapid Cloud (Rci) did a placing recently which means the funds have came in at the same price as the IPO and while the shares were exchanging hands at over a quid not so long ago, today they SP sits around 55p - The company has already alluded to the fact an acquisitions on the cards in the next couple of weeks so profiteering from this level shouldn't be too hard.

They you have it folks a relaxed 5 minute of waffle,thought and explanation to a few facts


All the best

Doc



https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

Featured on SP.com
http://www.shareprophets.com/
Subscribe free for a daily share tip.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/
Featured on VTM.com

Featured on Ofst every day.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/tipsters


(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)

Sunday 20 July 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XXIII.




This week we look over some of the breaking stories whilst holding council on what's hot and what's not. The weeks action has been overshadowed by the standing down (fall from grace) by Gulf Keystone's CEO Todd Kozel '' I'm sure he'll be missed ''.

I caught up with the head hitters at the shareprophets and they are convinced categorically that a potential JV with Chevron is imminent, It won't take too much to get the old war horse battling forth once again.

International relations look completely broken with Syria,Iraq,Russia,Ukraine and Israel all making an unpopular presence within the news desk, some journalists find any news story these days with decorum bottom of some lists. Civilians,women and children are being massacred yet the global powers seem to lay quiet on the real travesty choosing to side with international power and influence. Yes thats Israel,Pro Russian forces and of course the mess in Syria.

Clearly the fact the markets have remained positive in what are uncertain times signals to me that we are in a micro bull cycle. I'd advise people consider how an end to the macrocycle and a continuation in conflicts will do for your portfolio.

It could get nasty out there unless we see a confirmed breakout into the super cycle. So what's hot and what's not.

Gulf Keystone: Have a change in executive management with a heavy city rumour of a tie up with Chevron. The markets concurred initially they were glad to see the back of TK and I'm sure many P.I's are also.

Kea Petroleum: Kea was a company I felt uber bullish on regards positive sentiment in New Zealand, they are on the cusp of operational updates however the fact they dropped a bollock by way of dating there RNS I feel there is a moderate positivity and a few questions to answer before confirming an out and out bull case although I'm not negative by a long shot.

Leni Gas & Oil: I managed to get the scoop the company were doing a placing the day before it was announced, the result was the corporate slur of its chairman '' Big Dave '' calling me a fool....
Perhaps being a step ahead of the city makes me an idiot but then I'm not the one making 100% guarantees there wouldn't be a placing then a matter of days later announcing a funding call '' I suggest the idiot is thee '' - The stock looks overheated and thus a sell/neutral '' not a buy ''

Nostra Terra: Has been a tad on the quiet side, this for me could well be the signal of pow wow by the CEO and his partner in crime Alden Mccall. Watch this space for a update on publicly suggested comments that the company is ready to take a little more risk thus a hefty chunk of the cake.

Magnolia Petroleum: After suggestion I was a bear on Magp I update that I now see the company more of a moderate buy or neutral (at worst case) The company has priced in bad news which is already known to the general public which leads me to believe an above or inline with expectation comment that may well boost the share price. '' I hear things are on the mend '' however we sit and wait.

The junior Oil & Gas space continues to offer up decent value return options so await the next big call here and on my twitter feed here...



All the best

Doc



https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

Featured on SP.com
http://www.shareprophets.com/
Subscribe free for a daily share tip.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/
Featured on VTM.com

Featured on Ofst every day.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/tipsters


(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)

Sunday 6 July 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XXII.



Well I'm about 3% north of horizontal as the start of the summer break gets underway, I see the same old jibba jabba playing out in the markets daily. When will folk digest the rules of the game!!!

Its As Bent As A Whippets Back Leg
Its A Corporate Dick Turpin approach
Its Designed To Empty Your Accounts
It's Been Losing Money Inherently for 150 Years

Its The Markets Folks...

The continuous daily battles people engage in is highly distracting and becomes more of a moral crusade than a strategy, quieting out the background noise is paramount as balance is as much about the mind as the portfolio. We have to find the fulcrum point within our inner person (the mind set) which will act as a traders/investors subconscious thus helping procure profits rather than squabble over loss.

The #dlc will feature daily through the usual outlets however the feature audios similar to Westminster Group here will be broadcast at www.valuethemarkets.com

Asta's board and Tom seem to have found some middle ground for now so its over to the Cornhill duo to deliver further newsflow with a reassuring nature, the fact Stefan has been living out of a suitcase for 3 months is good enough for me as his commitment to drive the company forward, like myself Stefan has a young family so to travel overseas for long periods of time in order to complete a JV which will potentially open the doors to Mexico's Oil & Gas space says its all which is why I continue to supoort the team.

Westminster Group has finally gained some traction in the markets with a sudden correction to 65p and many eyes on the forming of a new 12 month high. I'd say its when and not if, we know from experience that whenever a company is on the cusp of significant news (good or bad)  we see an aggressive change in the companys SP. Wsg has been through the mill somewhat and articles by Pauly Pilot have not helped. I can see Pauls angle however as an accountant its very difficult to find some resolve with the company's current valuation although the metrics of the pipelines have not been fairly considered which is why I see further growth based on the 42 potential deals under management and the only real need to sign one or two as the catalyst to further significant increase.

Noricum Gold popped up back on the radars last week, it wasn't hard to see from a technical aspect that the stock was oversold with plenty of clear early signs that the bad times were coming to an end, I'm pretty sure Noricum will be back to 0.75-1p in no time however sentiment and momentum are still only mildly onside, if it builds a head of steam then it will shift along, if not then perhaps a slow recovery. The summer time benefits these small cap gold plays that are located in naturally freezing climates which is why they perform at this time of year and not over the winter time. but lets not forget that the markets are not a logical environment...


GulfKeystone rumors are still churning over regarding a potential deal with Chevron, the retail appear less than convinced as playing the keysor soze trick twice will be harder to hook people. Is it a case of genuine intent or just another clever jedi mind trick by GKP?

Rose Petroleum Never fell from the mango tree as expected which could support the reasoning the shed had already taken place at 4p the first time round and there is now a steady consolidation forming. The company has much to do however the sectors good which leads me to believe that Rose are unlikely to be the cause of great complaint.

Mosman Oil & Gas has been something of an enigma over recent weeks and whilst the markets seem to love playing Russian roulette, I personally don't see the risk/reward as an investor or even a trade. The ergonomics are not there in this one so I'll be avoiding it at all cost.

GoldCrestResoucres are coming to aim..... (make a note) more to follow


All the best

Doc



https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

Featured on SP.com
http://www.shareprophets.com/
Subscribe free for a daily share tip.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/
Featured on VTM.com

Featured on Ofst every day.
http://uk.advfn.com/one-free-share-tip/tipsters


(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)